Super Tuesday Preview

Super Tuesday Preview

Geoffrey Dean and Ellie Hamashima

With Super Tuesday just five days away, the pressure is mounting for the democratic presidential candidates to gather support and secure crucial delegates in a highly contested nomination race. On Tuesday, March 3, 14 states representing roughly 40% of the US population will cast their ballots for the Democrat and Republican nominee for the General Election in November. Of the 3,979 total pledged Democratic delegates, 1,343 will be awarded on Super Tuesday, 110 of which will come from North Carolina. These delegates will be split between statewide votes and votes in congressional districts, with 38 and 72 votes coming from each respective vote count.

President Trump is the clear favorite for the GOP nomination as the incumbent candidate, however, eight candidates still remain in a relatively crowded Democratic field. Here is a look at the five front runner candidates, based on FiveThirtyEight’s North Carolina polling data.

Senator (I-VT) Bernie Sanders (Polling at 22.2% in North Carolina):
Geoffrey Dean: Despite his long Washington career and admirable proposals in a variety of areas, Sanders does not seem to possess the calm, collected, and unifying characteristics of a successful nominee and president. His polarizing and uncompromising nature may turn away moderate voters who have not committed themselves to either party. In addition, Bernie appears to lack transparency on several major concerns about his medical records and how he will fund his progressive medicare-for-all plan. One thing that is for sure: Bernie Sanders is very consistent.
Ellie Hamashima: Although this may be an unpopular opinion among left-leaning Gen Z, Bernie Sanders is not my favorite. I don’t dislike him, but I am not confident in his ability to beat President Trump. However I support many of his ideas, I don’t agree with how he plans to go about them. He does not have a realistic plan and I believe many voters in the next election will be turned away by this.

Former Vice President Joe Biden (18.9%):
GD: For someone who entered the race surrounded by controversy over claims of inappropriate behavior towards women, Biden has done nearly everything in his power to right the ship. His White House experience mitigates fears of incompetence on the big stage. Despite this, his age and the problems it has posed may be of concern, as well as his inconsistent association with former President Barack Obama. Biden has been able to earn the respect of many Washington officials, most recently House of Representatives Majority Whip, James Clyburn.
EH: Joe Biden makes me uncomfortable. I do not believe he will be able to effectively debate. Not to mention this is his third time running for president! That proves that he is not an effective spokesperson and candidate. He also carries with him extreme baggage and controversy.

Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg (18.6%):
GD: There was a point in time where it seemed like whenever Michael Bloomberg opened his mouth on a debate stage, the situation only got worse for the former mayor of New York. Bloomberg has a controversial history surrounding his mayoral policies such as stop-and-frisk, in addition to allegations of sexual harassment at his multi-billion dollar company, Bloomberg media. His experience as the mayor of the nation’s largest city and founder of a massive corporation helps bolster his experience as a manager, but it has yet to be seen if that resume will be able to overcome the many questions about Bloomberg’s past.
EH: I do not like Michael Bloomberg. He has had a suspicious past, including a lawsuit against him. Sekiko Sakai Garrison was employed by Garrison as a sales representative in 1995. After reading more about the lawsuit I am unsettled, disturbed, and disgusted. Bloomberg has many allegations against him, including unauthorized touching and inappropriate acts.” There are also racist and sexist remarks Garrison accuses him of saying, The lawsuit was settled as “an undisclosed sum described as substantial.” His ‘Stop and Frisk’ past is also upsetting. He is unfit for a president, especially if we are striving for equality.

Elizabeth Warren (10.0%):
GD: After watching Elizabeth Warren eviscerate Mayor Bloomberg in consecutive debates, she has made a strong case towards Democrats looking for a candidate who can take down Donald Trump. Her experience in primary education work as a special education teacher and secondary education as a Harvard law professor, in combination with her Washington experience, reflects compassion and intellect which are valuable traits in a president. As far as policy is concerned, she has struggled to significantly separate herself ideologically from fellow Medicare-for-All proponent, Senator Bernie Sanders. Nonetheless, Warren is a proven winner, pointing out in the January debate, “Collectively, [the male Democratic candidates] have lost 10 elections. The only people on this stage who have won every single election that they’ve been in are the women.” She has also shown the ability to remain level headed in high-stress situations, such as the very heated debates, without coming across as pejorative or belittling.
EH: In my opinion, Elizabeth Warren has a lot of potential. I have confidence in her ability to win the election if she is against Trump. She has shown that she is assertive, well-spoken, and empathetic. I believe that her experience in law school and in education will be helpful in the debates to come. Although she is not my primary choice, I see potential and believe she has many positive characteristics.

Pete Buttigieg (8.3%):
GD: Despite being the mayor of a town smaller than Cary, Pete Buttigieg has a polish and professionalism that one would want a president to have. A Harvard graduate and Rhodes Scholar, Buttigieg displays extraordinary wit and discipline on the debate floor and on the campaign trail, although this occasionally manifests itself as arrogant and condescending. Buttigieg leaves no equivocation on his major platforms and provides a voice of reason and stability in a critical moment in history.
EH: Pete Buttigieg is my personal favorite, at each debate he has exhibited excellent character and morals. He also has a clear opinion and determination to bring America to full potential. He also has a passionate belief for the severity of global warming and that “If this generation doesn’t step up, we’re in trouble. This is, after all, the generation that’s gonna be on the business end of climate change for as long as we live.”